Track record
The prediction ledger
Every forecast we publish goes here with a confidence tier and a resolve-by date. Open entries are unresolved. We do not delete misses.
| Date | Prediction | Confidence | Resolve by | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 7, 2026 | The CY2027 Home Health final rule (expected by early November 2026) finalizes a permanent and/or temporary behavior-adjustment cut in some form despite industry comment pressure | Med | Nov 30, 2026 | Open |
| Jul 7, 2026 | DEA and HHS act before the December 31, 2026 expiration so telemedicine controlled-substance prescribing flexibility does not lapse (fifth extension or permanent rule) | High | Jan 1, 2027 | Open |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Following the July 31, 2026 comment close, 7-hydroxymitragynine (kratom compound) is placed in Schedule I by temporary scheduling order before the end of Q1 2027 | Med | Mar 31, 2027 | Open |
| Jul 6, 2026 | American Health Intel reaches 1,000 newsletter subscribers by September 1, 2026 | Low | Sep 1, 2026 | Open |